The market doesn't sleep. You do.
Crypto runs 24/7. Human attention doesn't. By the time you check the chart, the move has already happened.
docket / v0.1 / base mainnet
A portfolio manager
that shows its work.
Three specialist agents debate every rebalance on Base. Every threshold is a number. The Risk Manager can veto. You pay only when the agent acts — via x402.
live demo available post-hackathon
~0.003 USDC per decision · no subscription · no API key
docket ~ case #0471
base mainnetlive
the problem
Why most trading bots fail you.
Three reasons retail capital consistently loses the agent game — and the thing they all share.
Signal in, trade out.
Most AI trading bots give you a verdict with no derivation. You can't audit reasoning you never see. You're trusting a vibe.
Tuning means editing code.
Want a tighter risk band? Open the repo. Change a number. Redeploy. No product should ask its user to be a committer.
Retail crypto traders have long underperformed buy-and-hold. The literature is consistent; the cause is not the market, it's the interface.
the solution
Three specialists. One decision. Full math.
Each agent runs a textbook quant strategy — not a black box. Weighted consensus must clear 60% to execute. Risk Manager vetoes override everything.
01
Market Structure Analyst
Z-score over Chainlink.
Pulls 20 rounds from the Chainlink ETH/USD feed. Computes rolling mean, standard deviation, and momentum. Flags moves more than 1.5σ from the mean.
- feed
- chainlink
- price
- $3,842.11
- mean
- $3,901.22
- z-score
- -1.82σ
- momentum
- +0.31
canon
Statistical mean reversion
Bollinger Bands / Thorp-era stat arb. Momentum filter guards the falling-knife case.
data: chainlink oracle
02
Liquidity Analyst
Slippage elasticity via Elsa.
Probes the book at three sizes — 10, 100, 1,000 USDC. Measures how slippage scales. Vetoes fills when the curve goes non-linear.
- 10 USDC
- 0.01%
- 100 USDC
- 0.08%
- 1,000 USDC
- 0.91%
- elasticity
- 1.14
- band
- linear
canon
Kyle's Lambda (price-impact elasticity)
Kyle 1985 market microstructure. Super-linear impact signals a distressed book.
data: elsa live probes
03
Portfolio Risk Manager
Drift, cooldown, position limits. Veto power.
Holds the rulebook. Enforces minimum time between actions. Caps any single asset at a hard position ceiling. Can override the other two.
- drift
- 4.2%
- cooldown
- 6m 12s
- reserve
- 1.0%
- max pos
- 80%
- veto
- ARMED
canon
Threshold-band rebalancing to constant-mix
Perold–Sharpe 1988. Drift floor is justified by round-trip cost, not taste.
data: wallet state
how it works
Observe → Debate → Act.
- 01
Observe
Chainlink round fires. Wallet state read. Slippage probed.
base mainnet · ~60s cadence
- 02
Debate
Three agents output structured opinions — signal, confidence, x402 receipt. Aggregator weights votes.
weight: 0.5 / 0.3 / 0.2
- 03
Act
Consensus ≥ 60, no veto, drift > 3% → Elsa swap. Receipt hashed. Audit trail updated.
elsa x402 · receipt on-chain
personalization
Match the agent to your temperament.
One profile, different thresholds. No config files, no redeploy — the agent compiles to your chosen risk.
Switch profiles any time. Every x402 receipt records the profile in force at decision time.
built on
Mainnet. L2 settlement, low fees, 2-second blocks.
Price oracle. One source of truth across the debate.
HTTP-native agent payments. No API keys, no subscriptions.
x402 originates here — the standard for agent-native payments.
x402-native swap execution.
Watch the Docket debate.
Every rebalance is a case opened, argued, ruled on, closed. Every trade on the Docket.
live demo available post-hackathon
built for Elsa Agentic Hyperthon · Apr 17, 2026 · base mainnet